WP 3: End-to-end ecosystem modelling of ecological tipping points in the HUS
PI: Ivy Frenger and Andreas Oschlies, GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel
In the WP3 the objective is to analyze the sensitivity of the HUS to “bottom-up” (climate change) and “top-down” (fishing pressure) forcing as well as the assessment of potential regime shifts (tipping points) and the impacts of crossing tipping points in the pelagic ecosystem and the assessment of early warning indicators. To do so the tasks are divided; first into the development of an end-to-end modelling of the Humboldt upwelling ecosystem (model coupling and evaluation, in collaboration with the CUSCO project), second by constructing tipping point scenarios in the HUS relating to fish production, environmental drivers and fishing pressure.
GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel
Düsternbrooker Weg 20
+49 431 600-4270
Working field in Humboldt Tipping:
- End-to-end ecosystem modelling of ecological tipping points in the HUS